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The top 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms

2026-11-02 09:00 · source: CNN · lang: en

As the U.S. midterm elections reach their conclusion, political analysts have identified 11 key Senate seats that are deemed most likely to change hands. The final stretch of the campaign has been characterized by intense polling volatility, with both Democrats and Republicans making last-ditch efforts to influence undecided voters in crucial swing states. While recent polling data suggested a potential ‘blue surge’ in favor of Democrats in several major races, experts remain cautious about relying heavily on these projections, noting that the battle for the Senate effectively comes down to narrow margins in red-leaning states. The intensity of these races reflects a deeply polarized electorate, where every individual seat is vital to securing control of the Senate. With the polls now closed or nearing completion, the focus shifts to turnout data and the efficiency of the parties’ get-out-the-vote operations. The outcome will be a defining factor for the remainder of the current administration’s term, potentially determining the legislative trajectory for the next two years. Sources: CNN, The New York Times, The Irish Times, NBC News, Forbes


Aggregated summary. Original: CNN