Political Uncertainty in Taipei and New Taipei: Polls Suggest Challenges for KMT Candidates

Recent polling data released by the United Daily News has sent ripples through Taiwan’s political landscape, suggesting potential trouble for prominent Kuomintang (KMT) figures Chiang Wan-an and Lee Chuan-chiao. Political commentator Huang Wei-han has described the findings as an ‘unexpected’ scenario where the KMT could face defeat in both Taipei and New Taipei City, a result that could have significant long-term implications for the party’s influence in northern Taiwan.

Meanwhile, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate for New Taipei City, Su Tseng-chang’s daughter Su Chiao-hui, has seen a notable surge in her polling numbers. Once trailing by double digits, Su has reportedly closed the gap, with her campaign emphasizing her relatable ‘Otter Mom’ persona and a focus on community-centric issues. Her recent campaign events, including visits to Shiding and Shenkeng alongside Vice President Hsiao Bi-khim, have been framed as efforts to connect deeply with the local electorate.

As the 2026 local elections draw closer, candidates from across the spectrum are intensifying their focus on critical issues such as urban renewal for aging buildings and youth employment. The shift in polling data reflects a highly competitive environment where neither side can afford complacency. The potential for a ‘double loss’ in the capital region has prompted the KMT to vow stronger support for their candidates, while the DPP sees a genuine path to victory in areas previously considered strongholds for their rivals. The coming months will be crucial as both camps refine their strategies to win over undecided voters.

Sources: Storm Media, CommonWealth Magazine, China Daily News, PNN Public Television Service, UDN